← Abyssal Heaven Store Championship at Gamers Guild Tempe
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Abyssal Heaven Store Championship at Gamers Guild Tempe
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-4-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.4%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1364
· median 1364
· range 1212–1517
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1212
Q3 1366
1597
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.7% | +9.3 |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -2.1 |
| Wind Neos | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -9.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
